Demand Forecasting

Ventorie generates demand forecasts by analyzing historical order data for each SKU. The forecast model identifies trends, weekly seasonality, and growth rates to project future demand over a configurable horizon (default: 90 days).

The Forecasts page shows a projected demand curve for each product. The shaded band represents the confidence interval — wider bands indicate higher uncertainty (e.g., low sales history or highly seasonal products). The center line is the point estimate used for replenishment calculations.

You can apply a manual override to any forecast period. Use this for known demand events — a planned promotion, a channel launch, or a product discontinuation — that the model can't predict automatically. Overrides are marked distinctly so you can track which periods have been manually adjusted.

If you've been on Ventorie for more than one full year, the forecast model automatically incorporates year-over-year seasonality patterns. For newer accounts, seasonality adjustments can be applied manually via forecast overrides.